Volume 20, Issue 4 | International Journal of Forecasting

Volume 20 Issue 4 , Pages i-iv,523-754,I-IV (October-December 2004)

articles 1 - 38

1.

Editorial Board
Pages iii

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Announcements

4.

Editorial Announcement
Pages 523-524
De Gooijer, J.G.
Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

Damping seasonal factors

5.

Damped seasonality factors: Introduction
Pages 525-527
Armstrong, J.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

6.

Damping seasonal factors: Shrinkage estimators for the X-12-ARIMA program
Pages 529-549
Miller, D.M. , Williams, D.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

7.

Seasonal adjustment perspectives on ''Damping seasonal factors: shrinkage estimators for the X-12-ARIMA program''
Pages 551-556
Findley, D.F. , Wills, K.C. , Monsell, B.C.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

8.

Implementation issues on shrinkage estimators for seasonal factors within the X-11 seasonal adjustment method
Pages 557-560
Ladiray, D. , Quenneville, B.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

9.

The interaction between trend and seasonality
Pages 561-563
Hyndman, R.J.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

10.

Comments on damped seasonal factors and decisions by potential users
Pages 565-566
Koehler, A.B.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

11.

Shrinking: When and how?
Pages 567-568
Ord, K.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

12.

Response to the commentaries
Pages 569-571
Miller, D. , Williams, D.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

Regular articles

13.

An Analytic Network Process model for financial-crisis forecasting
Pages 573-587
Niemira, M.P. , Saaty, T.L.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

14.

A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts
Pages 589-609
Bauwens, L. , Giot, P. , Grammig, J. , Veredas, D.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

15.

Forecasting economic time series with unconditional time-varying variance
Pages 611-627
Van Bellegem, S. , von Sachs, R.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

16.

Forecasting volatility: A reality check based on option pricing, utility function, value-at-risk, and predictive likelihood
Pages 629-645
Gonzalez-Rivera, G. , Lee, T.H. , Mishra, S.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

17.

The impact of institutional change on forecast accuracy: A case study of budget forecasting in Washington State
Pages 647-657
Deschamps, E.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

18.

Linear prediction of temporal aggregates under model misspecification
Pages 659-670
Man, K.S.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

19.

Evaluating consumer sentiments as predictors of UK household consumption behavior
Pages 671-681
Easaw, J.Z. , Heravi, S.M.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

20.

Forecasting performance of multivariate time series models with full and reduced rank: an empirical examination
Pages 683-695
Wang, Z. , Bessler, D.A.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

21.

The value of statistical forecasts in the UK association football betting market
Pages 697-711
Dixon, M.J. , Pope, P.F.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

22.

Bayesian time series analysis of periodic behaviour and spectral structure
Pages 713-730
McCoy, E.J. , Stephens, D.A.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

23.

Research on Forecasting
Pages 731-732

Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

Research on forecasting

24.

How much stock should you put in expert forecasts? Professional vs. Amateur judgment accuracy: The case of foreign exchange rate
Pages 731-732
Fred Collopy
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

25.

How can you tell in advance whether you are going to get truly expert forecasts?
Pages 732-733
Frank Yates, J. , Onkal, D.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

26.

Leading indicator tourism forecasts,
Pages 733-734
Law, R.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

Research on forecasting

27.

Leading indicator tourism forecasts,: Kulendran, Nada and Stephen F. Witt, Tourism Management, 2003, 24, 503–510.
Pages 733-734
Law, R.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

28.

Earnings skewness and analyst forecast bias
Pages 734-736
Krishnan, M.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

29.

Comparison of some Statistical Methods of Probabilistic Forecasting of ENSO
Pages 736-737
Skouras, S.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

30.

The State of Macroeconomic Forecasting
Pages 737-738
Bachmeier, L.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

Research on forecasting

31.

The State of Macroeconomic Forecasting
Pages 737-738
Bachmeier, L.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

32.

Technical efficiency-based selection of learning cases to improve forecasting accuracy of neural networks under monotonicity
Pages 738-739
Zhao, L.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

33.

Technical efficiency-based selection of learning cases to improve forecasting of neural networks under monotonicity assumpti
Pages 739-740

Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

34.

Reaping benefits from management research: Lessons from the forecasting principles project, J. Scott Armstrong and Ruth A. P
Pages 740-741
Hubbard, R.
Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

.

Pages

Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

.

Pages

Abstract|Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

Announcements

35.

The International Institute of Forecasters
Pages 743

Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

36.

International Institute of Forecasters Citations for Honorary Fellows, 2003
Pages 745

Full Text Link|Online Supplements|Comment

Indexes

37.

Subject Index Volume 20 (2004)
Pages 747-749

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38.

Author Index Volume 20 (2004)
Pages 751-753

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Volume 29

Volume 29, Issue 2
pp. 221-366
(April-June 2013)
Volume 29, Issue 1
pp. 1-220,A1-A2
(January-March 2013)

Volume 28

Volume 28, Issue 4
pp. 767-892
(October-December 2012)
Volume 28, Issue 3
pp. 557-766
(July-September 2012)
Volume 28, Issue 2
pp. 297-556
(April-June 2012)
Volume 28, Issue 1
pp. 1-296
(January-March 2012)

Volume 27

Volume 27, Issue 4
pp. 961-1282
(October-December 2011)
Volume 27, Issue 3
pp. 635-960
(July-September 2011)
Volume 27, Issue 2
pp. 197-634
(April-June 2011)
Volume 27, Issue 1
pp. 1-196
(January-March 2011)

Volume 26

Volume 26, Issue 4
pp. 627-936
(October-December 2010)
Volume 26, Issue 3
pp. 445-626
(July-September 2010)
Volume 26, Issue 2
pp. 211-444
(April-June 2010)
Volume 26, Issue 1
pp. 1-210
(January-March 2010)

Volume 25

Volume 25, Issue 4
pp. 639-850
(October-December 2009)
Volume 25, Issue 3
pp. 431-638
(July-September 2009)
Volume 25, Issue 2
pp. 215-430
(April-June 2009)
Volume 25, Issue 1
pp. 1-214
(January-March 2009)

Volume 24

Volume 24, Issue 4
pp. 561-792
(October-December 2008)
Volume 24, Issue 3
pp. 323-560
(July-September 2008)
Volume 24, Issue 2
pp. 189-322
(April-June 2008)
Volume 24, Issue 1
pp. 1-188
(January-March 2008)

Volume 23

Volume 23, Issue 4
pp. 533-736
(October-December 2007)
Volume 23, Issue 3
pp. 343-532
(July-September 2007)
Volume 23, Issue 2
pp. 159-342
(April-June 2007)
Volume 23, Issue 1
pp. 1-158
(January-March 2007)

Volume 22

Volume 22, Issue 4
pp. 637-836
(October-December 2006)
Volume 22, Issue 3
pp. 413-636
(July-September 2006)
Volume 22, Issue 2
pp. 203-412
(April-June 2006)
Volume 22, Issue 1
pp. 1-202
(January-March 2006)

Volume 21

Volume 21, Issue 4
pp. 623-808
(October-December 2005)
Volume 21, Issue 3
pp. 397-622
(July-September 2005)
Volume 21, Issue 2
pp. 199-396
(April-June 2005)
Volume 21, Issue 1
pp. i-vi,1-198,I-IV
(January-March 2005)

Volume 20

Volume 20, Issue 4
pp. i-iv,523-754,I-IV
(October-December 2004)
Volume 20, Issue 3
pp. i-iv,375-522,I-IV,CO3-CO4
(July-September 2004)
Volume 20, Issue 2
pp. 169-374
(April-June 2004)
Volume 20, Issue 1
pp. i-vi,1-168,I-II
(January-March 2004)

Volume 19

Volume 19, Issue 4
pp. 551-780
(October-December 2003)
Volume 19, Issue 3
pp. i-iv,339-548,I-IV
(July-September 2003)
Volume 19, Issue 2
pp. i-iv,161-338,I-II
(April-June 2003)
Volume 19, Issue 1
pp. i-vi,1-160,I-II
(January-March 2003)

Volume 18

Volume 18, Issue 4
pp. 487-704
(October-December 2002)
Volume 18, Issue 3
pp. i-iv,319-486,I-IV
(July-September 2002)
Volume 18, Issue 2
pp. 163-318
(April-June 2002)
Volume 18, Issue 1
pp. 1-162
(January-March 2002)

Volume 17

Volume 17, Issue 4
pp. 537-644
(October-December 2001)
Volume 17, Issue 3
pp. 329-536
(July-September 2001)
Volume 17, Issue 2
pp. 143-328
(April-June 2001)
Volume 17, Issue 1
pp. 1-142
(January-March 2001)

Volume 16

Volume 16, Issue 4
pp. 433-540
(October-December 2000)
Volume 16, Issue 3
pp. 293-432
(July-September 2000)
Volume 16, Issue 2
pp. 147-292
(April-June 2000)
Volume 16, Issue 1
pp. 1-146
(January-March 2000)

Volume 15

Volume 15, Issue 4
pp. 351-464
(October-December 1999)
Volume 15, Issue 3
pp. 227-350
(July-September 1999)
Volume 15, Issue 2
pp. 125-226
(April-January 1999)
Volume 15, Issue 1
pp. 1-124
(February-January 1999)

Volume 14

Volume 14, Issue 4
pp. 433-544
(December-January 1998)
Volume 14, Issue 3
pp. 303-432
(September-January 1998)
Volume 14, Issue 2
pp. 157-304
(June-January 1998)
Volume 14, Issue 1
pp. 1-156
(March-January 1998)

Volume 13

Volume 13, Issue 4
pp. 433-598
(December-February 1997)
Volume 13, Issue 3
pp. 303-431
(September-November 1997)
Volume 13, Issue 2
pp. 161-301
(June-August 1997)
Volume 13, Issue 1
pp. v,1-159
(March-May 1997)

Volume 12

Volume 12, Issue 4
pp. 439-574
(December-February 1996)
Volume 12, Issue 3
pp. 325-438
(September-November 1996)
Volume 12, Issue 2
pp. 193-323
(June-August 1996)
Volume 12, Issue 1
pp. 1-191
(March-May 1996)

Volume 11

Volume 11, Issue 4
pp. 501-610
(December-February 1995)
Volume 11, Issue 3
pp. 361-499
(September-November 1995)
Volume 11, Issue 2
pp. 197-359
(June-August 1995)
Volume 11, Issue 1
pp. v,1-196
(March-May 1995)

Volume 10

Volume 10, Issue 4
pp. 491-653
(December-February 1994)
Volume 10, Issue 3
pp. 387-490
(November-January 1994)
Volume 10, Issue 2
pp. 181-386
(September-November 1994)
Volume 10, Issue 1
pp. 1-179
(June-August 1994)

Volume 9

Volume 9, Issue 4
pp. 437-596
(December-February 1993)
Volume 9, Issue 3
pp. 295-435
(November-January 1993)
Volume 9, Issue 2
pp. 147-293
(August-October 1993)
Volume 9, Issue 1
pp. 1-145
(April-June 1993)

Volume 8

Volume 8, Issue 4
pp. 543-662
(December-February 1992)
Volume 8, Issue 3
pp. 289-542
(November-January 1992)
Volume 8, Issue 2
pp. 135-287
(October-December 1992)
Volume 8, Issue 1
pp. 1-133
(June-August 1992)

Volume 7

Volume 7, Issue 4
pp. 409-566
(March-May 1992)
Volume 7, Issue 3
pp. 257-408
(November-January 1991)
Volume 7, Issue 2
pp. 123-255
(August-October 1991)
Volume 7, Issue 1
pp. 1-122
(May-July 1991)

Volume 6

Volume 6, Issue 4
pp. 449-596
(December-February 1990)
Volume 6, Issue 3
pp. 283-447
(October-December 1990)
Volume 6, Issue 2
pp. 149-282
(July-September 1990)
Volume 6, Issue 1
pp. 1-147
(1990)

Volume 5

Volume 5, Issue 4
pp. 467-644
(1989)
Volume 5, Issue 3
pp. 303-465
(1989)
Volume 5, Issue 2
pp. 155-301
(1989)
Volume 5, Issue 1
pp. 1-153
(1989)

Volume 4

Volume 4, Issue 4
pp. 515-637
(1988)
Volume 4, Issue 3
pp. 321-514
(1988)
Volume 4, Issue 2
pp. 171-319
(1988)
Volume 4, Issue 1
pp. 1-169
(1988)

Volume 3

Volume 3, Issue 3-4
pp. 351-550
(1987)
Volume 3, Issue 2
pp. 187-350
(1987)
Volume 3, Issue 1
pp. 1-185
(1987)

Volume 2

Volume 2, Issue 4
pp. 397-519
(1986)
Volume 2, Issue 3
pp. 257-395
(1986)
Volume 2, Issue 2
pp. 131-256
(1986)
Volume 2, Issue 1
pp. 1-130
(1986)

Volume 1

Volume 1, Issue 4
pp. 309-321
(1985)
Volume 1, Issue 3
pp. 195-306
(1985)
Volume 1, Issue 2
pp. 81-193
(1985)
Volume 1, Issue 1
pp. 1-80
(1985)

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