Volume 21 Issue 4 (October-December 2005)

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Nonlinearities, Business Cycles and Forecasting
edited by Antonio Garcia-Ferrer, Jan G. De Gooijer, Pilar Poncela, Esther Ruiz

The Marshallian macroeconomic model: A progress report

Zellner, A., Israilevich, G.
Pages 627-645
Abstract

In this progress report, we first indicate the origins and early development of the Marshallian macroeconomic model (MMM) and briefly review some of our past empirical forecasting experiments with the model. Then we present recently developed one-sector, two-sector and n-sector models of an economy that can be employed to explain past experience, predict future outcomes and analyze policy problems. The results of simulation experiments with various versions of the model are provided to illustrate some of its dynamic properties that include ''chaotic'' features. Last, we present comments on planned future work with the model.

Keywords: Marshallian macroeconomic model, Disaggregation, Prediction, Simulation, One-sector model, Two-sector model, n-Sector model
FULL TEXT LINK
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2005.04.022
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