Quantifying the quality of macroeconomic variables
Oller, L.E.
, Teterukovsky, A.
Pages 205-217
AbstractMethods to quantify the quality of a macroeconomic statistical time
series are presented. The integrated measures are based on a combination of
how predictable the series is and how much its statistics need to be
revised. An ''information window'' based on signal-to-noise ratios provides
a snapshot of the quality. A formulation of information in terms of entropy
is also considered. Our approach allows testing of whether a forecast or a
preliminary value is informative. Concavity and monotonic convergence of
information accrual are discussed.
Keywords: Statistical quality
, Forecast errors
, Revisions
, Information measures
, Entropy