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International Symposium on Forecasting
Boston
June 24-27, 2012

Volume 5 Issue 4 (1989)

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Combining Forecasts
edited by J.S. Armstrong

Combining forecasts: The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end?

Armstrong, J.

Pages 585-588

Abstract

Research from over 200 studies demonstrates that combining forecasts produces consistent but modest gains in accuracy. However, this research does not define well the conditions under which combining is most effective nor how methods should be combined in each situation. Rule-based forecasting can be used to define these conditions and to specify more effective combinations.

Keywords: Combining forecasts , Meta-analysis , Realistic simulations , Rule-based forecasting

FULL TEXT LINK

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0169-2070(89)90013-7

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